Open Source
Co-optimization for Adaptive Conformal Prediction
arXiv stat.ML0 views
arXiv:2603.01719v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: In regression, conformal prediction often suffers from inefficiency under heteroscedasticity and skewness due to fixed, non-adaptive interval centering. We propose CoCP, a new method that parameterizes prediction intervals by a center $m(x)$ and a radius $h(x)$, and alternates between learning $h(x)$ via smooth quantile regression on folded residuals and refining $m(x)$ using a smooth interval loss. This corrects mis-centering and drives the interval toward high-density regions. Beyond finite-sample marginal validity via split-conformal calibration, we prove that CoCP also attains asymptotic conditional coverage and optimal interval length if the base estimators are consistent. Experiments demonstrate that CoCP yields tighter intervals and achieves improved empirical conditional-coverage reliability. Code is available at https://github.com/jjoeysu/cocp.
Source:https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.01719PreviousCross-Fitted Clipped Covariance Estimation with a Data-Driven Tail-Energy CriterionNextQuantifying Linepack Storage Potential of Hydrogen Networks
Related posts
Remove filler words with AI without damaging the sentence
0dev.to Tutorial

2747. Count Zero Request Servers
0dev.to PHP
An open-source harness for coding agents that shows its work
0Hacker News New
Man reaches the Bay Area after walking across the country from New York City
0Hacker News New
Show HN: Trout: MIRC for the Terminal
0Hacker News Show
How hard could implementing DTLS 1.3 possibly be?
0Lobsters