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Generalized Hyperrectangular Prediction Sets in Multivariate Conformal Prediction
arXiv stat.ML0 views
arXiv:2611.05543v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In multivariate conformal prediction, many nonconformity scores yield prediction sets with complex geometry (e.g., ellipsoids or density level sets) that are difficult to interpret and visualize. Hyperrectangles offer a practical alternative by providing one interval per output. We extend this notion to Cartesian products of arbitrary one-dimensional sets, which we call generalized hyperrectangles. We introduce a rectangularization framework that turns any continuous multivariate nonconformity score, or conditional density, into one yielding generalized hyperrectangular prediction sets with finite-sample coverage. We establish key geometric properties of our rectangularization framework and provide useful intuitions on generalized hyperrectangles. We further establish a representation theorem showing that a broad class of hyperrectangular conformal methods based on max-aggregated coordinate-wise scores can be interpreted as rectangularizations of implicit conditional densities. Through synthetic and real-world experiments, we quantify the efficiency cost of rectangularization, while highlighting its benefits, especially for practical applications of uncertainty quantification.
Source:https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.05543PreviousExploring the Privacy--Size Tradeoff for Differentially Private Self-Attentive Variational AutoencodersNextA Unified Framework for Training-Dataset Aggregation and Exact Machine Unlearning via Gibbs Probability Measures
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